December 2, 2011

PPP: Florida shows perils of Gingrich for GOP

Note, PPP usually polls for Democrats. Public Policy Polling (PPP): If the Newt surge persists over the next few months the biggest winner is going to be Barack Obama.; We can see that pretty clearly in our newest Florida poll.
PresidentGraphIf Mitt Romney's the Republican nominee, Obama's in a lot of trouble in the Sunshine State. Obama leads Romney only 45-44, and given that the undecideds skew largely Republican he'd probably lose to Romney if the election was today. Obama being stuck in the mid-4os against Romney is par for the course in our Florida polling. In September Obama led 46-45, in June it was 47-43, and in March it was 46-44.  The dial has barely moved all year.

But if Newt Gingrich is the Republican nominee it's a completely different story.  Obama leads him 50-44 in a head to head. To find the last time a GOP Presidential candidate lost Florida by more than that you have to go all the way back to Thomas Dewey in 1948.  Even Barry Goldwater did better in Florida than Gingrich is right now.  . . . [Full Story]

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